Mahmoud Abbas is 87. Who will replace him?

These likely contenders to succeed the Palestinian president will all stick with Abbas’s policies –
the differences between them are a matter of style

AUG 2, 2022, 9:23 AM

From left: Palestinian Authority Civil Affairs Commissioner Hussein al-Sheikh. (WAFA); Senior Fatah official Jibril Rajoub (Majdi Mohammed/AP); Senior Fatah official Mahmoud Al-Aloul (AP Photo/Nasser Shiyoukhi)

Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas was admitted to a Ramallah hospital twice last week, making the ongoing question of succession that much more urgent. Regardless of whatever specific medical issues the PA leader may have (these are known only to his close circles and his physicians), health concerns are not unexpected in an 87-year-old man. Abbas is famously resilient and I’m told he was attending business meetings toward the end of the week. His health is a critical matter to the policies and politics facing Palestinians, Israelis, the United States, and many other interested parties.
Abbas’s 17-year tenure has been full of ups and downs but his commitment to the peaceful resolution of the struggle with Israel has remained ironclad. Many Palestinians, especially Hamas, have taken him to task for not pursuing the doctrine laid out by the iconic Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat of “bearing an olive branch in one hand, and the freedom fighter’s gun in the other.” It was a policy popular among Palestinians but left Israel continually questioning Arafat’s commitment to settling the conflict through peaceful means.
No elections
The issue of Abbas’ health resurfaced following US President Joe Biden’s visit to Israel and the West Bank and then to Saudi Arabia. Preparations for the meetings with Biden’s advance team were rigorous. Following the Abbas-Biden summit in Bethlehem Abbas undertook a whirlwind trip to multiple European countries without the necessary rest required of a man his age.

Palestinians across the political spectrum saw the Biden visit as a grave disappointment. It only confirmed a popular view that US policy is permanently tipped toward Israel and exacerbated the schism between hardliners and those seeking to engage in a diplomatic process.
Against this backdrop, the contenders to succeed Abbas face a daunting division between the West Bank and Gaza. It is a foregone conclusion, in my view, that no Palestinian presidential and parliamentary elections will be held in the West Bank and Gaza for fear that Hamas might win. Hamas’s legislative win in 2006 almost caused the collapse of the Palestinian Authority. Replacing Abbas, when the time comes, will therefore be conducted as a procedural process within the PLO’s Central Council and will not be guided by public opinion.
The choice of chairman of the PLO and, in turn, the president of the PA will fall upon the shoulders of the PLO’s Central Council. Given that Fatah, along with its independent allies, forms a majority in the PLO’s Central Council and its Executive Committee, the new head of Fatah will presumably become their nominee for the PLO’s chairmanship. The chairman of the PLO would then become the president of the PA as well.
The three contenders
Three figures currently stand out as the likely candidates to inherit the mantle of PLO and PNA leadership. The first and, lately, most visible candidate is Hussein Al-Sheikh, who made a meteoric rise through the ranks of the PLO. In February of 2022, he was appointed to the executive committee of the PLO, its highest decision-making body. Shortly thereafter, Al-Sheikh was appointed as the secretary-general of the executive committee of the PLO, a post that was held by the late Saeb Erekat. Many viewed these appointments as favoring Al-Sheikh over other contenders to assume the leadership of the PA and the PLO.

Palestinian Authority Civil Affairs Commissioner Hussein al-Sheikh. (WAFA)

Currently, Al-Sheikh, who is 61, holds the position of the Head of the General Authority of Civil Affairs, as well as the Head of the Coordination and Cooperation Committee (CAC) with Israel. In these capacities, Al-Sheikh had to deal closely with the Israelis. Some Palestinians view his ties with Israel as too close for comfort. A major factor that could help Al-Sheikh’s ascent to the highest echelons of power within the PLO is the support he enjoys from Majed Faraj, the head of the Palestinian security forces. Nevertheless, and while in Ramallah, I have heard murmurs that some influential people would object (“over their dead bodies”) to Al-Sheikh’s ascension to the presidency.
The second contender for the chairmanship of the PLO and the presidency of the PA is Major General Jibril Rajoub, the secretary general of Fatah’s Central Committee. Rajoub, 69, is a former chief of Preventive Security in the West Bank and is regarded as actively vying to succeed Abbas.

Senior Fatah official Jibril Rajoub speaks during a press conference in the West Bank town of Ramallah, September 3 2018. (Majdi Mohammed/AP)

Rajoub, who reportedly maintains power bases in the areas of Hebron and Ramallah, is known for his blunt talk that sometimes gets him into political hot water with the Palestinians, Israelis, and others (he clashed with former PLO Chairman Yasser Arafat who, at the time, stripped him of his post as head of Preventive Security).
Rajoub, I’ve been told, still maintains allegiance among some elements of the Palestinian security forces. Although he is well known to Israel and speaks fluent Hebrew, compliments of the time he served in Israeli prison, he can be mercurial in his mood and statements. One possible obstacle in Rajoub’s path is the fact that he is not a member of the executive committee of the PLO. That, however, is not a legal obstacle to his ascension to the presidency if he is first elected as the head of Fatah.
If things heat up badly between Al-Sheikh and Rajoub, the compromise candidate could be Mahmoud Aloul. Aloul was elected in 2017 as deputy chairman of Abbas’s Fatah party, which dominates the PA and its security forces.

Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas, left, speaks to senior Fatah official Mahmoud Al-Aloul at the tomb of late Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat inside the Mukataa compound, in the West Bank city of Ramallah, Nov. 11, 2018. (AP Photo/Nasser Shiyoukhi)

In 2018, Abbas reportedly told Fatah Revolutionary Council members that Aloul was his preferred candidate to succeed him as chairman of Fatah. The Council is the second key decision-making body after the Fatah Central Committee. Aloul, 71, would be the oldest of the three candidates. In the 1970s, he was involved in military attacks against Israel. Nevertheless, if elected, Aloul, who belongs to the old guard of the Palestinian leadership, is expected to pursue the same policies as Abbas. Aloul shares the Abbas strategy according to which the Palestinians should stick to “popular resistance,” and not “armed struggle,” against Israel.
Style, not substance
Many have predicted the demise of Abbas due to his ill health. The elderly president, however, has cheated death many a time. After meeting with US President Joe Biden, Abbas’ tour of several European countries would have exhausted officials who are much younger. And yet succession is inevitable.
Among the three likely contenders, there are few fundamental ideological differences and their core policies towards Israel, the US, and the peace process should not be expected to deviate much from those of Abbas. Nevertheless, their style of leadership will reflect their personalities, with Al-Sheikh being the most diplomatic, Rajoub being the bluntest, and Aloul being a mirror image of Abbas.
The selection of a new president is projected to be tense and potentially involve clashes at times, especially between supporters of Hussein Al-Sheikh and Jibril Rajoub. Nevertheless, the internal elections will ultimately be held largely in peace. The style and power base of each candidate – and not any significant differences in policy or politics – will ultimately determine who succeeds Abbas.

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Turkey’s standoff with NATO not over yet

ug 02 2022 10:19 Gmt+3
Last Updated On: Aug 02 2022 10:59 Gmt+3

Turkey’s standoff with NATO over Sweden and Finland’s membership is not over yet, said Burcu Özçelik, a research fellow at Cambridge University.
If the Scandinavian countries fail to stand by their commitments agreed at a NATO summit in Madrid in June, the issue is “bound to hang over NATO,” Özçelik said in the Arab Weekly on Monday.
 
Turkey initially opposed the NATO membership applications of Sweden and Finland, made in May, saying the countries were failing to combat threats to its security posed by so-called terrorist groups including the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK). It dropped its objections at the Madrid summit after Stockholm and Helsinki promised to address pending deportation or extradition requests of terror suspects. Turkey says final approval by its parliament rests on the fulfilment of those pledges.
 
Özçelik said that Turkey may now believe that it has the upper hand in dealing with Kurdish militants, opening the way for possible reconciliatory steps for the Kurds in Turkey. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan must hold elections by June next year and his approval rating has been sliding due to economic problems.  
“There may be an opportunity here for restarting dialogue, which has been frozen since the resurgence of violence six years ago,” Özçelik said.
A full reproduction of the article follows below:
The Kurdish question loomed large in NATO’s meeting last month in Madrid. The headlines focused on Turkey’s objection to Sweden and Finland joining the military alliance while Ankara’s long-standing concern about Kurdish separatists was an unspoken elephant in the room. Turkey has long claimed that Sweden and Finland harbour Kurdish militants along with other high-profile opponents of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s government. This frustration looks like it will remain a contentious issue in future relations between Turkey and NATO.
Erdoğan made a triumphant return to Ankara from the summit, having wrestled the desired concessions from Sweden and Finland on the matter of curbing the activities of the outlawed Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK), which has been labelled a terrorist organisation by the European Union, United States, and the United Kingdom.
Since the summit, Swedish and Finnish lawmakers have faced backlash from political opponents, mainly from those on the left. In Sweden, the Green Party and the Left Party, warned against the risks of allying with Turkey.
Turkey is demanding the extradition of more than 70 people it describes as terrorists from Sweden. In early July, members of the Left Party posed with flags from the PKK, as well as its Syrian offshoot YPG, which has received arms in the fight against ISIS from western countries such as the United States. Although left-wing MPs have historically shown some sympathy to the group, the latest incident, which took place during a political meeting on the island of Gotland, was designed to call attention to the summit. Although the Left Party is not in government, it helps prop up the Social Democrat cabinet. Sweden’s Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson condemned the images, saying “posing with such flags is extremely inappropriate.”
The domestic implications of what was arguably a foreign policy win will continue to play out over the coming months in Turkey. Erdoğan has his own challenges at home ahead of next year’s presidential and parliamentary elections, coinciding with the centennial anniversary of the founding of the Turkish Republic in 1923. Kurdish voters have been a significant block in previous polls. In the past, their votes have swayed tight elections. While Turkey might have gained ground on the international dimensions of its fight against Kurdish separatists at the NATO summit, there are still profound challenges in the domestic dynamics of the Kurdish question that will gain fresh urgency in the next election cycle.
Just look at the pro-Kurdish Peoples’ Democracy Party (HDP). From his prison cell in the western city of Edirne, the jailed former head of the HDP, Selahattin Demirtas wrote a passionate letter stating that politics and violence cannot go together. Demirtas was imprisoned on charges of support for terrorism following an urban guerrilla insurgency orchestrated by the PKK and its affiliates in the summer of 2016 in parts of southeastern Turkey.
In the letter published on July 1 in the pro-Kurdish daily Yeni Yasam, which is banned in Turkey, Demirtas called for “change,” urging Turkey’s opposition parties to find new paths to unite in a joint effort against Erdoğan’s governing Justice and Development Party (AKP). He also called on his own party to embrace Turkey and seek an honourable peace within the unity of the country. His words were a clear call for the Kurdish opposition to act like an autonomous political party, free from external interference by PKK militants based in the Qandil mountains in northern Iraq.
However, it is unclear how far the plea will resonate within the wider Kurdish movement, which has been angered by the events at the Madrid summit. Whether the Kurds can separate legitimate demands for political rights and continued armed insurgency will determine the fate of future generations of Kurdish people in Turkey and across the Middle East.
Time could be limited as Turkey moves to ban Kurdish political parties. Turkey’s Constitutional Court will review a case seeking to ban the HDP – the third largest party in parliament, with a mandate of 12 percent of national voters – on grounds of its links to terrorism. Two-thirds of the court’s members are required to agree on a decision, however, it is not yet clear when the review will take place. In April, the HDP submitted its defence to the Constitutional Court, repudiating the charges.
A ban ahead of next year’s elections would unfairly silence millions of pro-peace Kurdish voices and play directly into the hands of PKK fighters spoiling for armed violence against Turkish targets. It would also jeopardise dying hopes for Turkey’s EU ascension bid. But the HDP cannot continue its rights struggle within Turkey’s political system while refusing to sever its ties with a proscribed terrorist organisation. No other NATO member would accept such a situation.
Having wrestled written commitments from Sweden and Finland, Turkey may believe it has the upper hand in the battle with Kurdish militants and can afford to take reconciliatory steps toward the Kurds in Turkey. There may be an opportunity here for restarting dialogue, which has been frozen since the resurgence of violence six years ago. Things could change in Turkey’s international approach to the Kurdish issue if Sweden and Finland fail to uphold their commitments agreed to in Madrid. As such, this issue is bound to hang over NATO. The view in Ankara is that the accession process has only just begun, meaning that the standoff between Turkey and NATO may not yet be resolved.
(The original version of the article can be found here.)

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Turkey calls for formation of new Iraqi government amidst continued protests

“We express our hope for the resolution of the current political uncertainty as soon as possible.”
 Kurdistan 24   2022/08/01 21:09 

 
Iraqi riot police protect the Turkish Embassy in Baghdad on Feb. 18, 2021, after calls on social media to gather there to protest Turkey’s vows to invade the northwestern enclave of Sinjar (Photo: Ahmad al-Rubaye/AFP) 

Iraq Iraq Protest Turkey Turkey-Iraq relations Sadr Maliki

ERBIL (Kurdistan 24) – Turkey’s Foreign Ministry on Monday called for restraint and said it hoped a new government will be formed without further delays.
“We follow the developments taking place in Iraq’s capital Baghdad with concern,” the Turkish Foreign Ministry said in a statement.
“We express our hope for the resolution of the current political uncertainty as soon as possible, which sets the basis for the developments in Iraq and for an inclusive and representative Government to be established without further delay in line with the expectations of the Iraqi people,” the statement further added.
Supporters of the Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr continue their protest for the third day inside the Iraqi parliament against the nomination of Mohammed Shia’ Al Sudani for the Iraqi prime minister by the Shiite Coordination Framework (SCF).
Read More: Tensions soar as Iraq gears up for rival protests near occupied parliament
The Coordination Framework (SCF) on Monday organized a counter-protest today outside of the Green Zone. But so far the counter-protest did not lead to clashes or violence between both sides.
Turkey said they respect the right of the Iraqi people to express their views and expectations through democratic means.
“In this context, we emphasize the need to refrain from violence and to prioritize the preservation of public order. We call on all relevant parties to act with common sense and restraint,” the statement concluded.
Relations between Iraq and Turkey have been strained due to disputes over water and the Turkish armed presence in Iraq.
Relations recently worsened after the Zakho artillery attack on July 20, which killed nine tourists and wounded over 23 others. While Iraq has blamed Turkey for the attack, Turkey denied responsbility.
Turkish state-owned Anadolu Agency reported on Monday that Turkish National Defense Minister Hulusi Akar reiterated Turkey’s readiness to investigate the attack.
Read More: UN envoy denounces attack on Zakho at Security Council meeting
“We have voiced our will to cooperate with our Iraqi brothers and will continue to say it.”

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Egypt: when the Gulf countries buy up the crown jewels

DEBT DISTRESS
Egypt: when the Gulf countries buy up the crown jewels

By Hossam Rabie, in Cairo
Posted on Monday, 1 August 2022 16:12

 
Traders at the Cairo stock exchange in September 2019. © REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany

In April, Egypt announced the sale of nearly $40bn in assets over four years to try to revive an economy in crisis. Several Gulf countries have jumped at the opportunity and have already spent some $20bn on the acquisition of public assets for sale.

This is an opportunity for these investors to grab the most profitable public companies and assets. But within the government, the operation is causing great concern.
On 3 July, the Egyptian parliament, all of whose members support President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, approved an agreement signed in late March between the Egyptian and Saudi governments. This is supposed to facilitate the Saudi Public Investment Fund’s (PIF) purchase of Egyptian assets. This new agreement comes after trade between the two countries jumped by 62.1% in 2021. It reached $8.7bn in 2021 compared to $5.4bn in 2020, according to the Egyptian Statistics Agency.

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In Change Of Tactics, Armenian Opposition Scales Back Protests

Armenia’s opposition stages a protest in Yerevan’s French Square on June 14.

YEREVAN — More than six weeks after the start of their “resistance movement,” Armenia’s main opposition groups have announced they will scale back almost daily demonstrations aimed at toppling Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian and instead focus on weekly rallies to build larger crowds of protesters upset over the government’s handling of the Nagorno-Karabakh dispute with Azerbaijan.
Ishkhan Saghatelian, one of the opposition leaders, said late on June 14 that many Armenians who were unhappy with Pashinian’s government have avoided participating in the protests, so a change of tactics was needed.
“We have not yet managed to get all those people to the streets and bring them to this square. There are still people who think this is a fight for power, for the return of former rulers to power,” Saghatelian told thousands of supporters rallying in Yerevan’s France Square, the site of the opposition tent camp.
The two opposition alliances represented in the Armenian parliament launched their campaign to oust the prime minister on May 1, two weeks after Pashinian signaled his readiness to recognize Azerbaijan’s territorial integrity and “lower the bar” on the status of Nagorno-Karabakh acceptable to the Armenian side.

They accused Pashinian of helping Baku regain full control of Nagorno-Karabakh after Armenia lost control over parts of the Azerbaijani breakaway region in a 2020 war that ended with a Moscow-brokered cease-fire monitored by Russian troops.
Opposition supporters have since regularly marched through the city center, blocking access to roads and the entrances to government buildings while repeatedly clashing with riot police.
The most serious of those clashes, which broke out on June 3, left dozens of protesters and police officers seriously injured.
Pashinian and his political allies have dismissed the opposition demands for his resignation saying the opposition has failed to attract popular support for regime change.

Saghatelian, who has been the main speaker at the protests, said that while the goal of unseating the prime minister has yet to be reached, the opposition has managed to “awaken society” and scuttle a “new capitulation agreement” with Azerbaijan. The protests have shown Pashinian lacks a popular “mandate to lead Armenia to vital concessions” to Baku, he said.
“We will definitely oust Nikol, but we will do that bloodlessly,” Saghatelian told the crowd.
The opposition, he added, has to “change the structure and tactic of our resistance movement in a way that will allow us to give it new impetus.”
They will now hold major rallies on a weekly basis and set up, in the meantime, new structures inside and outside Yerevan, he said.
Saghatelian said they will also keep fighting for the release of more than three dozen opposition activists and supporters arrested during the protest movement.
The vast majority of them were charged with assaulting police officers or government loyalists. Opposition leaders reject the accusations as politically motivated.
Nagorno-Karabakh, which had been under ethnic Armenian control for nearly three decades, is internationally recognized as part of Azerbaijan.
Pashinian, who said he had agreed to the 2020 cease-fire to avoid further losses, said he would not sign any peace deal with Azerbaijan without consulting ethnic Armenians in Nagorno-Karabakh.

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Armenia to set up National Guard

National Guard units in other post-Soviet states, like Russia, have been used to squelch protests. And critics see it as a means for the government to protect its power.

Ani Mejlumyan Aug 2, 2022

Armenia’s Internal Troops in 2014. (photo: police.am)

As part of a broad security sector reform, Armenia is planning to set up a new National Guard force aimed at protecting high-ranking officials and state facilities. 
The reforms also include establishing an Interior Ministry for the first time since 2002. They are part of a draft bill that was first introduced in January 2021 but has been revised since then and now is scheduled for a parliament vote in September.
Government officials have singled out the creation of the National Guard – a structure common to many post-Soviet countries that focuses on protecting state officials and facilities – as the most significant piece of the reform package.
The National Guard “will be responsible for maintaining public order and public safety,” said Ara Fidanyan, the deputy chief of the Armenian police, in July 12 testimony to parliament about the bill. “In particular, we are ensuring the security of various state agencies, organizations, important facilities, high-ranking officials, and foreign delegations.”
Analysts suggested that the move was motivated by the government’s decreasing popularity in the wake of the 2020 defeat in the war against Azerbaijan. Since then it has faced open rebellion from senior military officers and a sustained protest movement organized by the political opposition.
“The realities have changed for the government, they don’t have the support and sense of security they had back in 2018” when they came to power, said independent military expert Leonid Nersisyan. “Creating a department like this [the National Guard] can guarantee that they can gather loyal people around them.”
The National Guard that Fidanyan described resembles that set up by Russia in 2016, and officials have said that the security reform package has been discussed with Moscow, Armenia’s military ally.
Russia’s National Guard, known as Rosgvardiya, has played a key role in cracking down on protests in that country and has deployed to Ukraine to keep order in the areas that Russia has captured in this year’s war.
“Rosgvardiya didn’t do well in Ukraine but it sure did well in shutting down demonstrations,” Nersisyan told Eurasianet. It is against Armenian law to use the military domestically, which could be part of the government’s calculation, he said. “As for Armenia’s national guard, you can get loyal people, equip and pay them better. And also, if you ever need to break up a protest, you can use them instead of the military since the use of the military is illegal.”
Some saw the move as a means of enforcing the increasingly authoritarian turn the government of Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan has been taking.
“The creation of a structure like this is characteristic of autocratic states, and it’s usually done by the leaders of personalist regimes who restructure state institutions in such a way that they serve their personal interests, protect their personal power, and have people loyal to them personally,” military expert Karen Vrtanesyan told Eurasianet.
The new National Guard units will be formed by police forces now known as Internal Troops. Under current law, those forces are subordinated to the armed forces in time of war; the new law would keep them under the Interior Ministry, as is the case in Russia.
Armenia had an Interior Ministry until 2002, when it was dissolved and the police became an independent structure that reports directly to the prime minister.
“By establishing the Interior Ministry, we will not only make the structure more controllable but also increase its transparency and accountability,” said Andranik Kocharyan, the chairman of the National Assembly’s Defense and Security Affairs Committee, during the July 12 hearing.
But some analysts argue that the new structure could in fact do the opposite.
“Ideally having all these security and armed forces structures under a single ministry means not only centralized control over them but also more people to bear responsibility,” Nersisyan said. “But in reality, because there are more people responsible like heads of departments, ministers, the prime minister and then parliament, accountability gets diluted. Now there’s not one person to blame if things go south.”

Ani Mejlumyan is a reporter based in Yerevan.

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Azerbaijan Commemorates Mass Killing of Servicemen by Armenian Troops in Karabakh Region

By Ilham Karimli August 15, 2022
URL: https://caspiannews.com/news-detail/azerbaijan-commemorates-mass-killing-of-servicemen-by-armenian-troops-in-karabakh-region-2022-8-15-9/
Caspiannews.com

The Dashbashi strategic height located between the Jabrayil and Khojavand regions of Azerbaijan / Courtesy

Twenty-nine years have passed since the mass killing of Azerbaijani servicemen by the Armenian military at the Dashbashi military post in the Karabakh region. 
The incident, which took place on August 15, 1993, saw an Armenian armed group launch a sudden offensive on the Dashbashi checkpoint where 23 Azerbaijani servicemen were stationed. None of the targeted servicemen survived the attack as Armenia had twice the number of troops as Azerbaijan at the time.
Following the incident, the Armenian troops desecrated the corpses of Azerbaijani servicemen.
“My aunt’s son also died here. It was very strange. The post was surrounded, 23 soldiers were brutally killed and tortured. Some had their heads, arms and eyes removed from their bodies. They went over the corpses with a chain tractor,” said Farzali Hasanov, a resident of Jabrayil.
According to Jeyhun Mammadov, a member of the Azerbaijani parliament from Jabrayil, the Dashbashi military post was created to provide air defense support to Azerbaijani forces deployed in the area.
“In order to defend the Dashbashi position itself, an additional artillery guard post consisting of five people was created on Mulkadara Height, located on the other side of the highland. A total of 28 young servicemen were stationed at both posts,” Mammadov said. The post of Dashbashi was one of the most important posts for Jabrayil. That’s why Armenians attacked it massively in a pre-planned offensive at around 4-5 AM on the night from August 14 to 15 and captured the height.”
The mass killing of Azerbaijani servicemen in Dashbashi occurred during the First Karabakh War between Armenia and Azerbaijan. Following the Soviet Union’s dissolution in 1991, Armenia launched a full-blown military aggression against Azerbaijan, with the latter’s Karabakh (Garabagh) region being a key focus. The longest and deadliest war in the South Caucasus region ended with a ceasefire in 1994 and saw Armenia forcibly occupying 20 percent of Azerbaijan’s internationally recognized territories. Over 30,000 Azerbaijanis were killed and one million were expelled from those lands in a brutal ethnic cleansing policy conducted by Armenia.
The Khojaly genocide is considered the pinnacle of the massacres committed by Armenia against ethnic Azerbaijanis in the First Karabakh War. On the night from August 25 to 26, Armenia’s forces, backed by the Infantry Guard Regiment No. 366 from a then-collapsed Soviet army, assaulted the town of Khojaly, located in the Karabakh region of Azerbaijan. As a result of the attack, the Armenian armed forces killed 613 ethnic Azerbaijanis, including 106 women, 63 children and 70 elderly people, and took another 1,275 as hostages. Another 150 Azerbaijani nationals went missing, and their fates remain unknown to this day. A total of 487 people were injured, including 76 children.
Meanwhile, according to data compiled by the Azerbaijani government, 3,890 Azerbaijani citizens, including 71 children, 267 women, and 326 older adults, went missing during the same war. Baku has been demanding that Armenia assist in investigating the fate of those people, a request that remains unfulfilled.
On September 27, 2020, the decades-old conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan took a violent turn after Armenia’s forces deployed in the occupied Azerbaijani lands shelled military positions and civilian settlements of Azerbaijan. During the counter-attack operations that lasted 44 days, Azerbaijani forces liberated over 300 settlements, including the cities of Jabrayil, Fuzuli, Zangilan, Gubadli, and Shusha, from a nearly 30-year-long illegal Armenian occupation. The war ended with the signing of a tripartite statement on November 10, 2020, by Armenia, Azerbaijan and Russia. Under the statement, Armenia also returned the occupied Aghdam, Kalbajar and Lachin districts to Azerbaijan.
The post of Dashbashi and the village of the same name were liberated from the Armenian occupation on October 20, 2020.

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Iranian parliament commission passes prisoner swap deal with Belgium

July 31, 2022

A spokesman for the Iranian parliament’s national security and foreign policy commission says the body passed the bill embodying a treaty for the transfer of convicts between Iran and Belgium.

Abolfazl Amouei said the motion had been referred to this commission for review and approval.
Amouei said the proposed 22-point treaty was sent to parliament in the form of a bill to run its legal course after being approved by the Iranian cabinet in June.
The Raisi administration says it agreed to the bill given the need to put in place a judicial cooperation mechanism between Tehran and Brussels and to expand bilateral ties.
The Belgian parliament had earlier approved the prisoner swap treaty with Iran, but a court in the European country later put it on hold temporarily.
Under the deal, Iranian diplomat Assadollah Assadi who is under arrest in Belgium for allegedly orchestrating an attack against a gathering of the MKO terrorist group in Belgium with be exchanged with a Belgian national in custody in Iran for espionage.
Iran vehemently denies Assadi planned an attack on Belgian soil.

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Azerbaijan’s FM and Blinken’s assistant hold phone talk

01 Aug 2022 22:27

News.az

On August 1, 2022, a telephone conversation was held between the Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Azerbaijan Jeyhun Bayramov and the Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian Affairs Karen Donfried of the United States of America, the Press Office of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs told News.az.
The current state of the post-conflict normalization process between the parties, Azerbaijan and Armenia, the tripartite declarations signed by the leaders of Azerbaijan, Armenia and Russia, as well as between the leaders of Azerbaijan and Armenia through the mediation of the President of the Council of the European Union, Charles Michel. As a result of bilateral meetings, they exchanged views on the implementation of statements.
Minister Jeyhun Bayramov brought to the attention of the other side the well-known position of Azerbaijan regarding the need to ensure peace and progress in the region, including the opening of transport and communications, the delimitation of the border of the two states, and the need to start work on the future peace treaty.
The minister noted the importance of full implementation of the obligations of the parties. In this regard, contrary to the commitments arising from the tripartite statement dated November 10, 2020, the Armenian armed forces have not been fully withdrawn from the territories of Azerbaijan and the inadmissibility of this has been emphasized.
During the telephone conversation, the next steps in the process of normalization between Azerbaijan and Armenia, issues on the regional agenda, as well as other topics of mutual interest were discussed.

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Ayman al-Zawahiri: Who was al-Qaeda leader killed by US?

BBC News – August 1, 2022
15 hours ago

Ayman al-Zawahiri, who has been killed by a US drone strike in Afghanistan, was often referred to as the chief ideologue of al-Qaeda.

Ayman al-Zawahiri, who has been killed by a US drone strike in Afghanistan, was often referred to as the chief ideologue of al-Qaeda.

An eye surgeon who helped found the Egyptian Islamic Jihad militant group, he took over the leadership of al-Qaeda following the killing by US forces of Osama Bin Laden in May 2011.

Before that, Zawahiri was considered Bin Laden’s right-hand man and believed by some experts to have been the “operational brains” behind the 11 September 2001 attacks in the United States.

Zawahiri was number two – behind only Bin Laden – in the 22 “most wanted terrorists” list announced by the US government in 2001 and had a $25m (£16m) bounty on his head.

In the years after the attacks, Zawahiri emerged as al-Qaeda’s most prominent spokesman, appearing in 16 videos and audiotapes in 2007 – four times as many as Bin Laden – as the group tried to radicalise and recruit Muslims around the world.

Bin Laden and Zawahiri formed the World Islamic Front for Jihad against Jews and Crusaders in 1998

His killing in last weekend’s attack in Kabul was not the first time the US had sought to target Zawahiri.

In January 2006, he was the target of a US missile strike near Pakistan’s border with Afghanistan.

The attack killed four al-Qaeda members, but Zawahiri survived and appeared on video two weeks later, warning US President George W Bush that neither he nor “all the powers on earth” could bring his death “one second closer”.

Distinguished family

Born in the Egyptian capital, Cairo, on 19 June 1951, Zawahiri came from a respectable middle-class family of doctors and scholars.

His grandfather, Rabia al-Zawahiri, was the grand imam of al-Azhar, the centre of Sunni Islamic learning in the Middle East, while one of his uncles was the first secretary-general of the Arab League.

Zawahiri became involved in political Islam while still at school and was arrested at the age of 15 for being a member of the outlawed Muslim Brotherhood – Egypt’s oldest and largest Islamist organisation.

His political activities did not, however, stop him from studying medicine at Cairo University’s medical school, from which he graduated in 1974 and obtained a masters degree in surgery four years later.

His father Mohammed, who died in 1995, was a pharmacology professor at the same school.

Radical youth

Zawahiri initially continued the family tradition, building up a medical clinic in a suburb of Cairo, but soon became attracted to radical Islamist groups which were calling for the overthrow of the Egyptian government.

In recent years, Zawahiri had become a remote and marginal figure, only occasionally issuing messages

 
When Egyptian Islamic Jihad was founded in 1973, he joined.

In 1981, he was rounded up along with hundreds of other suspected members of the group after several of them, dressed as soldiers, assassinated President Anwar Sadat during a military parade in Cairo. Sadat had angered Islamist activists by signing a peace deal with Israel, and by arresting hundreds of his critics in an earlier security crackdown.

During the mass trial, Zawahiri emerged as a leader of the defendants and was filmed telling the court: “We are Muslims who believe in our religion. We are trying to establish an Islamic state and Islamic society.”

Although he was cleared of involvement in Sadat’s assassination, Zawahiri was convicted of the illegal possession of arms, and served a three-year sentence.

According to fellow Islamist prisoners, Zawahiri was regularly tortured and beaten by the authorities during his time in jail in Egypt, an experience which is said to have transformed him into a fanatical and violent extremist.

Following his release in 1985, Zawahiri left for Saudi Arabia.

Soon afterwards, he headed for Peshawar in Pakistan and later to neighbouring Afghanistan, where he established a faction of Egyptian Islamic Jihad while working as a doctor in the country during the Soviet occupation.

Zawahiri took over the leadership of Egyptian Islamic Jihad after it re-emerged in 1993, and was a key figure behind a series of attacks by the group on Egyptian government ministers, including the Prime Minister, Atif Sidqi.

The group’s campaign to topple the government and set up an Islamic state in the country during the mid-1990s led to the deaths of more than 1,200 Egyptians.

In 1997, the US state department named him as leader of the Vanguards of Conquest group – a faction of Islamic Jihad thought to have been behind the massacre of foreign tourists in Luxor the same year.

Two years later, he was sentenced to death in absentia by an Egyptian military court for his role in the group’s many attacks.

Western targets

Zawahiri is thought to have travelled around the world during the 1990s in search of sanctuary and sources of funding.

In the years following the Soviet withdrawal of Afghanistan, he is believed to have lived in Bulgaria, Denmark and Switzerland, and sometimes used a false passport to travel to the Balkans, Austria, Yemen, Iraq, Iran and the Philippines.

In December 1996, he reportedly spent six months in Russian custody after he was caught without a valid visa in Chechnya.

According to an account allegedly written by Zawahiri, the Russian authorities failed to have the Arabic texts found on his computer translated and he was able to keep his identity secret.

In 1997, Zawahiri is believed to have moved to the Afghan city of Jalalabad, where Osama Bin Laden was based.

A year later, Egyptian Islamic Jihad joined five other radical Islamist militant groups, including Bin Laden’s al-Qaeda, in forming the World Islamic Front for Jihad against Jews and Crusaders.

The front’s first proclamation included a fatwa, or religious edict, permitting the killing of US civilians. Six months later, two simultaneous attacks destroyed the US embassies in Kenya and Tanzania, killing 223 people.

Zawahiri was one of the figures whose satellite telephone conversations were used as proof that Bin Laden and al-Qaeda were behind the plot.

Two weeks after the attacks, the US bombed the group’s training camps in Afghanistan. The next day, Zawahiri telephoned a Pakistani journalist and said: “Tell America that its bombings, its threats, and its acts of aggression do not frighten us. The war has only just begun.”

In the years following Bin Laden’s death, US air strikes killed a succession of Zawahiri’s deputies, weakening his ability to coordinate globally.

And in recent years, Zawahiri had become a remote and marginal figure, only occasionally issuing messages.

The US will herald his death as a victory, particularly after the chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan last year, but Zawahiri held relatively little sway as new groups and movements such as Islamic State have become increasingly influential.

A new al-Qaeda leader will no doubt emerge, but he will likely have even less influence than his predecessor.

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