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JaFaJ

A New American Ambassador to Jordan, Reactions from the King and Opposition

1. Summary: Jordanian media has recently leaked news about the nomination of a new American Ambassador to Jordan Yael Lempert. A veteran diplomat, Lempert currently serves as the Acting Assistant Secretary for Near Eastern Affairs. The Jordanian media has been welcoming Lempert’s nomination with a “song and da nce”, as a sign of Jordan’s king trying to over-welcome and perhaps impress the new ambassador. JaFaJ sources confirm this is all a part of the attempt by the king and queen to secure western support for their son to become King as Abdullah is contemplating early retirement to defuse the restless and angry Jordanian people. The Jordanian opposition on the other hand is more sceptical of the new Ambassador and sees her as just an implementor of Biden’s policies which they see as “unconditional support for Abdullah” at the expense of Jordanians. Despite the drama the Jordanian regime is trying to attach to Lempert’s appointment, she is not expected to trigger any major changes as it will remain business as usual at the US Embassy in Amman.
2. Jordanian news sites have leaked the news Yael Lempert is the incoming United States Ambassador to Jordan. JaFaJ sources in Washington DC confirm this to be true and claim Lempert was hand-picked by the Secretary of State Anthony Blinken and recommended to President Biden. A veteran diplomat, Lampert has served in some of the most challenging posts, including Iraq shortly after the American invasion and Egypt. For the Jordanian job, Lempert will leave her current position as Acting Assistant Secretary for Near Eastern Affairs. She will be replacing Henry Wooster, the outgoing US Ambassador who was appointed by Trump barely three years ago.
Favored by the King and His Wife
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3. The state-controlled Jordanian media has been celebrating Lempert’s nomination as US Ambassador to Jordan. Several sites reported “Known for her love for Jordanian shawarma”, with a photo of her eating the traditional Arab meat sandwich from Reem shawarma, the most famous shawarma joint in Amman. Jo24.net, a Jordanian site known to be close to the Jordanian intelligence department, described Lempert as “extremely cautious, silent, and reserved”. According to those same sites, “It is likely that Lempert supports the Democratic Party and that she engages in her tasks with the utmost craftsmanship and professionalism, and without arrogance and fuss.”
4. This passionate, early welcome from the Jordanian regime’s mouthpiece, exhibits profound approval by the Hashemite Royal Court and the King’s office. A Jordanian intelligence source confirmed with JaFaJ that “The King didn’t like the old [ex] Ambassador because he applied Trump’s policies.” The source went on to add that “you also must remember who the real boss of this country is: the Queen is the boss, and she hopes that the new ambassador will help her son become king”.
5. JaFaJ has learned from sources within the Hashemite Royal Family that Queen Rania is avidly rounding up global support for her son, Crown Prince Hussein, to replace his father as King. King Abdullah II is apparently “fully supportive of the move” because it is a way to defuse the Jordanian public and open a new chapter with his son.
6. Nonetheless, the royal couple has been facing substantial obstacles in making their son a king. The first obstacle is the public’s anger toward the royal family, from both, the Jordanian Palestinian heritage and the Bedouin community as well. Both sides blame the royal family’s lavish and flamboyant lifestyle for the extreme economic hardship and the heavy security hand the king has been treating his opposition and the systematic discrimination against the Palestinian majority which has become more intense in the past few years.
7. Additionally, the Crown Prince’s lifestyle could be a major obstacle to his parents’ plans. While there is widespread national ‘conversation’ that Hussein is a homosexual, someone from Rania’s inner circle reported to JaFaJ that “He is definitely bisexual, but not strictly homosexual”. True or not, both claims have made the Crown Prince unacceptable the in eyes of a very conservative Jordanian society.
7. With the King and Queen openly desperate to crown their son Hussein, Western political sources close to Queen Rania’s Office have reported that she is betting that she will be able to recruit the new American ambassador in the hopes of securing political and economic support for her son. The source added, “Rania has a perception that personal connections to influential individuals may change the situation on the ground, but she does not necessarily understand that Western countries have government bodies that require due process”. The source continued, “She is delusional in the sense that she thinks she could turn things around with one phone call to what she believes is the right person – she has even called Sarah Netanyahu asking her for support for her son [the Crown Prince]”. [COMMENT: Sarah Netanyahu is the wife of the Israeli Prime Minister elect Benjamin Netanyahu. END COMMENT]
Jordan’s Opposition is Not Thrilled
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8. Unlike the Hashemite regime, the Jordanian Opposition does not seem to be very happy with the new appointment. An example of this was a tweet by Mohammad Btaibet, a senior member of the Jordanian Opposition Coalition (JOC), Btaibet wrote: “Abdullah II and Rania Antoinette of the Arabs are playing a game they can’t play, they are trying to change the American ambassador to Jordan”
[https://twitter.com/btaibet/status/1593414729590099968?s=20&t=taV8vmANe0_w74Z66MhjYw]
9. An Israeli source who is familiar with the JOC reported to JaFaJ, “The Opposition is convinced that the King should have been overthrown long ago, and was saved by the Democrats, particularly President Obama”. The source continued by saying that “They blame the Democrats for giving more years to the king’s iron fisted rule, and say that they cannot trust this Ambassador, Blinken and or the Democrats”.
10. A British politician who has a working relationship with the de facto leader of Jordan’s opposition, Mudar Adnan Zahran, quoted him as saying “I served in a senior position for the US Embassy Amman and I have come to believe Ambassadors aide policies, they do not make policy. Policies are made in Washington, the incoming Ambassador will only follow Biden’s policies which appear to be identical to Obama’s; unconditional support for Abdullah, and that the support came at the expense of the Jordanian people’s freedom and livelihoods”. He added that, “Sadly, the Dems don’t seem to understand that regimes come and go and that the people remain and it appears that they have gone all in on a King who is in a very fragile position and is losing credibility with those who matter, minute by minute, including the USA, and his own subjects – the Jordanian people”.
Her Jewish Heritage A Non-Issue
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11. Lempert is Jewish, though her upbringing is rather secular. Despite this, there does not seem to be any evidence of public resentment of her Jewish faith. Comments made by Jordanians on social media did not refer to her Jewish heritage despite her first name is very Hebrew. Instead, comments made by Jordanians over Twitter and Facebook ranged between welcoming her and questioning Jordan’s ties to America. Nonetheless, few comments joked about her being “the new American boss for Jordan” and the “the US Embassy being the real Jordanian government”.
Business as Usual
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12. Despite the melodramatic and unprecedented welcome from Jordan’s King-controlled media and the apparent anger from Jordan’s opposition, Lempert is not expected to launch any drastic changes in the way the Government of the United States (GUS) deals with Abdullah or his opposition. Lempert will not be anybody’s messiah. As for Hussein’s ambitions for the throne, this call is far above the pay rate and power of the new ambassador. Hence, it is safe to say that the GUS will not do anything differently in Jordan unless a drastic event is to take place, for example, a massive revolution or an ailment by the king, or his death. Hence, it will only be business as usual.

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The Case of Hussian Tlesh; How Libyan Radicals Are Using the Ukraine War to Finance Terrorism

1. Summary: Having been heavily focused on the war in Ukraine, Western intelligence agencies have made an unexpected find: Hussain Tlesh. Hussian Tlesh is a Libyan Islamist who manages a Ponzi scheme out of the Ukraine with his two sons. The proceeds from this “venture” are used to finance terrorism in Libya at the grassroots level. Tlesh is a retired USSR-trained fighter pilot. Intelligent, calculating, organized and very secretive his hidden low approach to live has helped him and his sons fly under the radar. Tlesh is helped most by his connections with the Muslim Brotherhood-dominated government of Western Libya. A native of Tripoli, Tlesh sustains connections with known members of the Islamic State terror group, which has gone into hibernation in Libya but remains dangerous and enjoys extensive support across Western Libya. Tlesh uses his position as Executive Director of the Al Ahli Club soccer team as cover for his financial operations, including providing money to terrorists in the forms of “Assistance” and “grants”. He also has been serving as a cash handler for radical Islamists in Libya thanks to his Club travels. Thanks to the war in Ukraine, Tlesh and his sons surfaced on the radar screens of several security US and European agencies, as well as the Ukrainian military intelligence. Additionally, because of his “business”, both his sons who also reside in the Ukraine, are under very heavy surveillance by their counterterrorism bodies. The significance of this case is this: Tlesh represents a textbook case of “terrorist evolution”, the evolution of terrorists who have become accustomed to settling for small, consistent successes rather than major yet short-lived achievements.
2. JaFaJ has confirmed that Libyan national Hussian Tlesh is an active financier of small time terrorists and radicals. JaFaJ sources added that “Tlesh has surfaced lately on the radar screen of two different Western security agencies, and has connections to Ukraine where two of his children reside.” The source added that Tlesh came to the attention of Western Intelligence Agencies shortly after the war in Ukraine began thanks to the actions of his son Mahmoud Tlesh. Mahmoud was spotted making, receiving and distributing large sums of money in what can only be considered “shady transactions”. The ongoing surveillance of Mahmoud has led to counterterrorism agencies focusing in on his father, Hussian.
3. In his early 60s, Hussian Tlesh is a native of Tripoli and is publically known to be very close to the Muslim Brotherhood led government of Western Libya. His position as “Senior Administrator” of the popular soccer team, Al Ahli Club, has fortified his image as a community figure and allowed him access to several Libyan officials, including the Libyan Sports Minister, Abdul Shafee Al Juaifi. [COMMENT: Since the toppling of Qaddafi, Libya has been split between two governments, the Muslim Brotherhood Wefaq Government which controls Western Libya and the moderate Khalifa Haftar Government which controls most of Eastern Libya with Benghazi as its capital. All of the Wefaq’s top officials are Muslim Brotherhood members and many have had open ties to the Islamic State in Libya. END COMMENT]
4. A former Russian Mig 25 fighter pilot, Hussian Tlesh received his training in the 1980s in the former Soviet Union. Disciplined, calculating and a steadfast organizer, Hussain is known to effectively “fly under the radar”, despite his popular position as leader of a popular soccer team. As such, he maintains a low profile and operates his financial connections with terrorists without fanfare or noise. Recent communications surveillance has shown him to be very discreet when using his phone and online communications, especially when he speaks to Mahmud, who resides in Kyiv.
5. An Islamist radical in ideology, Hussain Tlesh is not reluctant to breach radical views within the ranks of players and administrators of the Al Ahli Club. According to inside sources, Tlesh is known to have facilitated the hiring of a former Islamic State jihadist within the club, and openly brags to his subordinates and players about Jihad and his network of grassroots terrorists who are loyal to him.
A Low Roller, A High Achiever
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6. According to JaFaJ sources, Hussian Tlesh never deals in massive money transactions. The largest amount of money he has received from abroad was USD $28,000. Careful to remain untouchable, he receives smaller amounts of money through multiple transactions, transactions that are laundered through various questionable ventures. To increase his profits while hiding more money, he uses his cover as the Senior Al Ahli Club Executive to travel to multiple countries, sometimes more than once a month. JaFaJ sources have confirmed that surveillance of the subject shows that two of the trips he made in 2022, were to collect money from Islamists and suspected Jihadists. He then brought the money back to Libya where he delivered it to known Islamists, including what the intelligence sources have described as “Active Islamic State members who have been recently relocated to Tripoli after having been released from the jails of Haftar government”.
7. Describing the rather humble amounts of money Hussian Tlesh has been funnelling to Libya’s radical elements is very dangerous. A Western intelligence source who is involved in counterterror financing in North Africa has confirmed to JaFaJ that “Terrorism is a cheap crime, a few thousand dollars worth of TNT could kill 100 people, therefore we cannot overlook any amount of money trickling down into the hands of terrorists”. When asked about Hussian Tlesh, the source responded, “He and others are on our radar screen”.
8. A Libyan intelligence source from the Haftar led government reported to JaFaJ “We can’t take people like Hussain Tlesh lightly, the Wefaq Government is ISIS [the Islamic State] with make up on its face”. The source added, “Terrorists like Tlesh bring money to the small terrorists, and this helps keep sleeper cells keep alive”.
9. The Libyan source noted that “His position as a leader of a sports team gives him some kind of protection. And if we call him out, the Muslim Brotherhood will make fun of us and call us paranoid. Nonetheless, we’re looking closely at him because he cooperates with questionable Arab agencies. The source concluded that “he is not the only financier of terrorism in the Wefaq government – remember the entire government there is Muslim Brotherhood”.
The Tlesh Terror Money Factory
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10. JaFaJ sources have confirmed that the flow of Hussian Tlesh’s terror money starts in Ukraine, with his son Mahmoud. A Libyan national who resides in Kyiv, told JaFaJ that Mahmoud runs an extensive Ponzi scheme, and that the scheme generates upwards of USD $30,000 a month. To do so, Mahmoud facilitates this scheme by targeting Arab victims over social media, and does so by begging them to help his wife, a Ukrainian Muslim convert named Hayat Tlesh. Using several fake names and shell companies to hide the money and themselves, the couple operates from a flat near Independence Square on Khreshchatyk Street in Kyiv. They reside there with their three children Amina, Larin and Adam. The said property’s location coordinates: 50.45000° N, 30.52361° E. One of Mahmoud Tlesh’s sales pitches to his victim revolves around his unique way of using cryptocurrency, and on occasion, baits his hook by giving prospects with small amounts of money to sweeten the deal. He primarily uses a specific ATM to make transfers and receive money, located at Buybank.io, Exchange Bitcoin in Antonovycha St, 45, Kyiv, Ukraine, 02000.
11. To perfect his Ponzi scheme, he sustains extensive outreach to Arabs residing in Europe, with a focus on Germany and the United Kingdom. For this, he uses the Facebook account https://www.facebook.com/tlesh.tlesh and an Instagram account, https://instagram.com/papa_mahmoud?igshid=YmMyMTA2M2Y= . He also uses a British issued burner phone, with the number +44 7724 690010, and keeps his communications strictly to WhatsApp.
12. According to JaFaJ sources, Mahmoud Tlesh has enlisted the help of his 25-year-old brother, Mohaned Tlesh. Mohaned also resides in Ukraine, yet makes regular trips to Dusseldorf, Germany driving a Hyundai Elantra with the Ukrainian licence plate AA5341KM. In Germany, he deposits his illegally obtained money. Mohaned also uses his social media accounts to recruit victims of the Ponzi scheme. These are Facebook accounts https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100003341269283
and Instagram account https://instagram.com/mohaned_tlesh?igshid=YmMyMTA2M2Y=
13. Despite their illegal money making schemes, both of Hussian Tlesh’s children harbor very radical views about Libya, Islam, and non-Muslims. Recent surveillance has shown the younger brother to be openly supportive of the Islamic State. He has made claims to fellow Arabs in Ukraine that Libya was “much better off when it was under the Daesh [Islamic State] ruler”.
14. Both men have sustained a good quality of life for themselves while at the same time wiring substantial money to their father in Tripoli. The father has used the money to finance terror fighters who are not employable because of their connections to the Islamic State in Libya. He has provided money to Libyans connected to terrorism, some known to have directly engaged in battles against the Benghazi based Libyan Government. Tlesh has also used some of the money to finance events for radical preachers in Libya which he uses to target young people.
The Big Boys Are Watching
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15. Several American and European counter-terrorism bodies know of Hussian Tlesh’s terror financing activities. JaFaJ has confirmed that the EU S Department of Treasury, Federal Bureau of Investigations, the US Department of Homeland Security, and the US Defence Intelligence Agency are already aware of this individual, and further measures are in the works against Hussian Tlesh. They include barring entry into 2 Arab countries including Egypt which he has entered under the cover of the soccer team he manages. Additionally, further measures are already in place to monitor both his sons with potential prosecution in the works.
Conclusion
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16. Hussian Tlesh is a textbook case of the terrorist evolution. Evidence clearly suggests that terrorists in general (and terror financing in particular), have adapted to the stricter post 9-11 world. This “evolution” is exhibited in Mr. Tlesh’s operations, operations that fly under the radar, which focus on small and consistent transactions that are made with humility rather than a mother of all successes like previous orthodox tourists do. Additionally, instead of having a head on collision with the government where he lives, he operates within the government hierarchy. What helps him (and those like him), is the fact that many Islamist governments have been empowered over the past two decades. Examples of this are found in Libya, Iraq, Jordan and Yemen, and not from more traditional countries like Germany and Belgium. In other words, the Tlesh’s avoid strict regulations found in those countries by utilising the Internet. This by itself is an exhibit of how the internet has brought down barriers and neutralized the significance of borders.
17. As you read this, terror financier Tlesh is scamming individuals in France for money that he eventually to Libya where it is used to support the Islamic State. At the same time, he targets Arabs and Muslims residing in Europe with his Ponzi scheme, making them co-financiers of terror without even realizing it.
18. Instead of going big and going in a bang, new age terrorists like Tlesh seek to secure consistency and avoid being hunted down by much stronger adversaries like the United States. While the terrorists have evolved, counterterrorism bodies across the world have failed to catch up, and that’s because they have been outsmarted by terrorists while they are still playing by the old rules.

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Hussein al-Sheikh, Heir Apparent to the President of Palestine

1. Summary: It appears that the President of the Palestinian Authority (PA) – Mahmud Abbas – has an heir apparent: Hussein Al-Sheikh, Secretary of the Executive Committee of the Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO). At 61, Al-Sheikh is agile, professional and maintains good working ties with the United States and Israel. Nonetheless, he is facing the PLO’s “old guard” who have more credentials, tribal and public support, and access to resource than he does. The future of a post-Abbas Palestine remains in question and Al-Sheikh cannot embody a certain answer to that at the time.
2. In May 2022, Palestinian president Mahmoud Abbas appointed Hussein Al-Sheikh as Secretary of the Executive Committee of the PLO. The position is more of “an everything Minister” in the PLO, and is considered one of the strongest position within the organization. The general feeling within the ranks of the PLO and the Israeli establishment is that Abbas had informally declared Al-Sheikh his heir apparent.
3. An Israeli official has confirmed with JaFaJ that “Al-Sheikh is the most likely candidate to serve as Abbas’s successor”. He added “Abbas has expressed this to us, the Americans don’t seem to mind him, and we won’t argue”. The source added, “All we want is for the security coordination to remain and not to see the territories [the West bank] ruled by Hamas.” The source continued by saying, “we don’t care who fills the job as long as these issues are secured”. On whether Al-Sheikh could survive as the PA’s president, the official said, “We won’t interfere in their internal affairs, we know and they know it’s in our mutual interest to keep the cooperating going, or they will lose”. An American with connections to intelligence operations in Jerusalem told JaFaJ sources: “Leading the Palestinians is a hard and dangerous job, what else do you think is the reason Abbas won’t pass it to one of his sons?”
4. At 61, Al-Sheikh is agile, intelligent, well-spoken, very organized and somewhat open about his political aspirations. Despite not being the most famous or well known Palestinian official, Al-Sheikh has been the Chief of the Higher Civil Affairs Committee (CAC) since 2007. This committee oversees all sorts of civil needs of the Palestinians from Israel. This has made Al-Sheikh a very influential man. Be it treatment at Israeli hospitals, special permission to visit Jerusalem, or a work permit in Israel, Al-Sheikh is the gatekeep for all of these. This shows the level of confidence Abbas had in Al-Sheikh by giving him this very sensitive position at an early stage of Abbas’s presidency.
5. Additionally, his position at CAC has required sustaining good ties to both the Israeli civil government bodies and the military. Therefore, Al-Sheikh is quite respected and trusted by several Israeli officials and high-ranking service men.
6. In addition, being the czar of Palestinian access to civil services from Israel has won him many favors with many Palestinians. For example, a work permit to Israel is considered a golden ticket for the average Palestinian, and Al-Sheikh has facilitated the issuance of thousands of these over the years.
Al-Sheikh’s Weaknesses
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7. While nobody expects Al-Sheikh’s succession of Abbas to be easy, Al-Sheikh is facing problems that may make such a move rather very hard, if not impossible. The first is his relatively young age and combat history. At almost 62, Al-Sheikh is considered a “kid” by the mainstream PLO dinosaurs, including the big names like Abbas Zaki, Ahmed Qurei and Jibreel Al-Rjoub. While most of those strong men are in their eighties, they remain influential and are apparently clutching to their positions of power, seemingly to the last breath. And even in death, their children are deeply rooted inside the PLO establishment and the PA government bodies. To them, Al-Sheik is an outsider and amateur.
8. Furthermore, the PLO dinosaurs question Al-Sheikh’s credentials as a “freedom fighter”. His history of activities against Israel including being a member of the coordination committee of the first intifada which landed him a decade behind bars of Israeli jails. Nonetheless, having spent all his life in the West Bank, Al-Sheikh never took part in the PLO’s armed battles against Israel, which the PLO old guards wear as a badge of honor. For example, Al-Sheikh never participated in the Lebanese Civil War. In other words, they will never see Al-Sheikh as “combat tested” and therefore are less likely to accept him as their leader.
Lack of Tribal Connections
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9. Additionally, Al-Sheikh does not belong to any major Palestinian tribes. Unlike some of his potential adversaries, his family tree is rather small, numbering a few hundred at best. In addition, born in Ramallah, Al-Sheikh does not belong to any of the Palestinian towns known for tribal concentration and loyalty to natives. For example, residents of Hebron are made up of very large tribes who are known to favor and support all PLO officials who are natives of the city. Al-Sheikh does not enjoy any of this.
Accusations of Corruption and Nepotism
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10. Like all Palestinian officials, Al-Sheikh has been accused of corruption. A fan of fancy imported suits and German cars, Al-Sheikh’s lifestyle remains within the norm of the average Palestinian official. Nonetheless, his enemies can mobilize these accusations to launch a campaign against him if he succeeds Abbas. Traces of it can already be found in the Palestinian media. Al-Sheikh does not have either the connections, the public support or the muscle to counter such a campaign.
Lack of Media Exposure, the New York Times Failure
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11. Additionally, Al-Sheikh does not have any media backing under his belt. The Palestinian media is controlled by either the PLO old guard or Hamas. Both are his rivals. Furthermore, Arab media is controlled by the Gulf States, and they don’t seem to pay a lot of attention to him. He had one run with Western Media upon advice from one of his friends who had a connection to the New York Times (NYT) correspondent, Patrick Kingsley. Despite having given Kingsley an exclusive and being too accommodating to him, the NYT story turned out to be negative, focusing on Al-Sheikh’s “liaison to Israel”, noting that some critics call him a “spokesman for the occupation”.
12. The NYT’s description of “liaison to Israel” was not exactly accurate because Al-Sheikh coordinates civil affairs and facilitates Palestinian access to Israeli services. By using the word “liaison” or “coordination with Israel”, the Palestinians usually refer to security cooperation which they hold responsible for the death and imprisonment of thousands of Palestinian militants. Nonetheless, this incident exhibits Al-Sheikh’s lack of experience when it comes to Western media, which would be happy to chew him up and spit him out alive if he becomes president.
Abbas is Rooting for Al-Sheikh
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13. JaFaJ sources who are close to the Presidential Office in the PA have confirmed that “Abu Mazen [Abbas] is lobbying hard for Al-Sheikh”. A source who is also very close with the Palestinian Intelligence Department, has confirmed that “Abu Mazen has already informed the Israelis, the Americans and the Britons that he wants this man as his successor, and is rallying support for him”. The source added that he should not expect any serious opposition from abroad, and that “the only trouble he may receive are those from Mohammad Dahlan who wants to be the next [Palestinian] President. [COMMENT: Mohammad Dahlan is a former senior PLO member and senior PA Security Official. His differences with Abbas over PLO policy, have forced him into the role of a dissident. Dahlan resides in Dubai where is considered “wanted” by Abbas. END COMMENT]
Conclusion
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14. Despite his agility, effectiveness and Abbas’s tremendous support for him, Al-Sheikh lacks public support to become the leader of the Palestinian people. Not only are odds stacked against him, but Abbas will be leaving him with a very heavy inheritance of public dismay, economic hardship, deep routed corruption and widespread unruliness within the different PLO factions. It is unlikely that Al-Sheikh will be able to control the West Bank or bring peace to it. For now, Abbas certainly remains without an eligible successor.

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November Rain, Egypt’s Sisi Afraid of a November Coup

1. Summary: The most trusted intelligence officers of Egypt’s President Sisi have confirmed to him that senior army generals were plotting to topple him allegedly in a coup disguised as a public revolution. At the same time, Egyptian activists in exile have been calling for the mother of all revolutions to topple Sisi. They have set November 11th as the day to inaugurate the revolution. Some of those activists are indeed tied to certain elements of Egyptian military intelligence. It is reported that Sisi became frantic after hearing the warning, and has been on a conquest to “identify the traitors”. The call for a November 11 revolution has gained substantial momentum. It is unlikely though that a revolution could topple Sisi unless it received the backing of the Egyptian army itself.
2. JaFaJ sources have confirmed that Egyptian President Sisi’s trusted intelligence officers have advised him that “Senior army officers are contemplating a military coup disguised as a revolution in November”. The news came to light during a cabinet level security meeting held by Sisi and his son, Mahmud, who serves as his de facto “everything minister”. The meeting was attended by a few of Sisi’s trusted intelligence officers.
3-Those in attendance briefed Sisi on the issue, claiming that top-ranked Egyptian generals and Military Intelligence officers are involved in the recent revolutionary calls against Sisi. According to the sources, they reported to Sisi that rouge generals are “in cahoots with foreign powers who allegedly want to get rid of Sisi and put someone more tolerated by the Egyptian public”. Mahmud then told those in attendance that the specific date of the planned coup was November 11th, 2022. This is the exact date the Egyptian opposition has set for the launch of a mother of all revolutions.
4. JaFaJ sources have learned that President Sisi’s reaction to the reports was dramatic. He passed the bad news to his wife, Entesar, who is usually the last person to whisper in his ear. Entesar has become frantic since then and has been pushing her husband and son to hit the rouge elements within their regime very hard. As a result, Sisi immediately began meeting privately with selected army and military intelligence officers to intimidate them, while both Sisi and his son, Mahmoud, being “convinced they will be able to identify traitors”, and are turning over every stone to find them.
5. An intelligence officer himself, Mahmud has a history of providing faulty intelligence to either impress his father or invoke certain actions from him. Therefore, it is not clear how accurate the intelligence gathered by Mahmoud Sisi and his loyalists has been; it is clear though that the allegations come at a time when there are sweeping calls on social media by Egyptian opposition activists in exile, for change. Activists are calling on the Egyptian public to take action and join them in changing the Sisi regime through a public revolution. They all seem to promote the line that “there is no solution with Sisi, he must go”. The major twist comes from this: they also have a launch date for their action on November 11th.
6. At the moment, there is no mistake in saying Sisi has been alienated by Western and Arab leaders alike, and also at home by the most senior members of the Egyptian military regime which has ruled Egypt since 1952. This divide, and resentment of Sisi and his actions, has spread throughout the ranks of the military regime itself. Even his most senior generals are concerned about his recklessness and heavy handed actions with the public, actions which have included executions, arrests and mass detentions. Additionally, his generals are very concerned that Sisi’s actions might result in the demise of the Egyptian military regime itself [Comment: for more information on this, please see our report and this matter dated January 2022. [https://acuitywebtechnologies.com/jafaj/egypts-army-fed-up-with-sisi-global-powers-eyeing-mubaraks-son-for-succession/ End Comment]
The Nermeen Adel Syndrome
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7. The calls for a “sweeping revolution” to topple Sisi have been led by an Egyptian dissident residing in Canada named Nermeen Adel. Adel has captivated Egyptian social media for months by revealing secrets of the Egyptian state and Sisi. She is particularly ruthless in her criticism of Sisi’s son Mahmud and openly admits that she has connections within the ranks of the Egyptian military regime. Notably, she has been promoting the rhetoric that the Egyptian army and police would not attack protesters and in fact, would “support them” if they take to the streets against Sisi. She maintains that Egypt’s army is “honorable” and “good people are commanding it”. Adel has recently joined forces with outspoken Egyptian opposition activist and former Egyptian government insider, Mohammad Ali. Ali hit fame in the Arab world when he fled to Europe and began leaking inside information about Sisi’s personal life and lavish lifestyle.
8. JaFaJ intelligence sources within the Egyptian army confirm that Nermeen Adel is an independent oppositionist who bears sincere hatred for Sisi’s regime. At the same time, Adel is in touch with members of Egyptian military intelligence who have been feeding her information. The sources reported that Adel has been assured that she “would be protected” by the Egyptian intelligence officers and that “she was not breaking any Canadian laws by seeking to depose Sisi by peaceful means”. A confidential Egyptian military source told JaFaJ that “She is the big guys’ mouthpiece, she’s decent with no spots on her records or private life, she can’t be blackmailed, she is not ugly looking, she’s well-spoken and gets the message across. I also can feel she genuinely hates what Sisi has done to the people of this country”. He added, “Sisi knows the big guys in here [the military establishment] are behind this girl [Adel], but what can he do – lock all of the generals up? If he did that, he surely would be toppled the next morning – but he would if he could”.
Conclusion
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9. It is not clear if the call for a full-blown revolution on November 11 will come to fruition. Even so, the widespread rhetoric over Egyptian social media has gained unprecedented public momentum. Nonetheless, in this case, no actual “revolution” could take place without the complete involvement of the Egyptian military. JaFaJ has confirmed that Egypt’s most senior military leaders are in favor of deposing Sisi. Nonetheless, it is not clear if they can currently pull off such a move. On one hand, on November 11, Egypt may witness some serious local events. But on the other hand, if they do occur, they are not expected to knock Sisi off his throne unless the army chooses to carry out a coup. As a result, Egypt will remain under the tight Sisi regime for as long as the army is not invoking serious action against him. This could shift rapidly thanks to Egypt’s inflation, a ravaged economy that has diminished the value of the Egyptian Pound, and an Egyptian military elite who are growing restless because of the actions of Sisi and his family.

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Israeli Army Preparing for War with Lebanon

1. Summary: Israel is deploying troops and artillery along its northern borders with Lebanon at a scale unwitnessed over the past 10 years. This is not new, Israel has done this many times before. Nonetheless, it comes when tensions are high between all parties and Iran is negotiating a nuclear deal with the United States. Israel considers the deal to be threat to her existence. Adding fuel to the fire, Iran is likely to benefit from any confrontation between its puppet – Hezbollah – and Israel. They will use the confrontation as a bargaining chip. Full-scale war is not unlikely at this moment.
2. JaFaJ Intelligence Solutions has learned that even with negotiations between Lebanon and Israel over the Northern Gas Fields, the Israeli Defense Force (IDF) is preparing for the worst – full-scale war with Lebanon, Hezbollah and Iran. A pre-set plan was enacted on Friday 20th August 2022. The Plan includes moving armored tanks, artillery and soldiers to Israel’s Northern Border. The movements have been documented visually by Israeli motorists.
3. JaFaJ’s top Israeli sources noted that “deploying troops and preparing for a war with Lebanon is nothing new”. The sources then went on to explain that the hostilities between Israel and the Lebanese based terror group – Hezbollah – have been the norm since the early 2000’s. The source added that “This is not the first time such a major deployment has taken place”.
4. JaFaJ, through a top Israeli government source, has confirmed that as the Biden Administration and Iran are moving closer and closer to signing a new nuclear deal, and the Israelis have made it clear to everyone: “We [Israelis] will not sit on our hands”. The source added that, “We need to be proactive, and take the initiative, even if this means going after Iran’s proxies in Lebanon, Syria, or anywhere else, we are prepared to fight”
5. Comment: Israel regularly deploys troops on the Lebanese border in an effort to thwart any potential attacks by Hezbollah. Recent history shows that Iran utilizes proxies to launch small wars with the US, Israel or Saudi Arabia. They then use this ‘dust up’ as a bargaining chip. Therefore, Israel must be expecting Iran to use the same strategy this time around in an effort to enhance its negotiating position as the talks near their end. One thing is different in this instance, the ongoing negotiations will probably result in Iran securing nuclear weapons in the near future, and as such, it will likely provoke a strong reaction by Israel in Lebanon or elsewhere.

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